Triumph Of The Optimists

Triumph of the Optimists PDF
Author: Elroy Dimson
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 9781400829477
Size: 16.71 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 352
View: 1570

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Book Description: Investors have too often extrapolated from recent experience. In the 1950s, who but the most rampant optimist would have dreamt that over the next fifty years the real return on equities would be 9% per year? Yet this is what happened in the U.S. stock market. The optimists triumphed. However, as Don Marquis observed, an optimist is someone who never had much experience. The authors of this book extend our experience across regions and across time. They present a comprehensive and consistent analysis of investment returns for equities, bonds, bills, currencies and inflation, spanning sixteen countries, from the end of the nineteenth century to the beginning of the twenty-first. This is achieved in a clear and simple way, with over 130 color diagrams that make comparison easy. Crucially, the authors analyze total returns, including reinvested income. They show that some historical indexes overstate long-term performance because they are contaminated by survivorship bias and that long-term stock returns are in most countries seriously overestimated, due to a focus on periods that with hindsight are known to have been successful. The book also provides the first comprehensive evidence on the long-term equity risk premium--the reward for bearing the risk of common stocks. The authors reveal whether the United States and United Kingdom have had unusually high stock market returns compared to other countries. The book covers the U.S., the U.K., Japan, France, Germany, Canada, Italy, Spain, Switzerland, Australia, the Netherlands, Sweden, Belgium, Ireland, Denmark, and South Africa. Triumph of the Optimists is required reading for investment professionals, financial economists, and investors. It will be the definitive reference in the field and consulted for years to come.

                                          PDF
Author: Francis Fukuyama
Publisher: العبيكان للنشر
ISBN: 9960541355
Size: 46.78 MB
Format: PDF, ePub, Docs
Category : Political Science
Languages : ar
Pages : 275
View: 1453

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Book Description: النقد الذي وجهه فرانسيس فوكوياما إلى حرب العراق وضعه في خلاف مع أصدقائه من المحافظين الجدد داخل إدارة بوش وخارجها على حد سواء . ويشرح فوكوياما هنا كيف أن إدارة بوش، في قرارها لغزو العراق، أخفقت في تدبيرها للسياسة الأمريكية الخارجية. فأولا، جعلت هذه الإدارة الحرب الوقائية على نحو خاطئ هي العقيدة المركزية لسياستها الخارجية. وإضافة إلى ذلك، أساءت الإدارة الحكم إساءة بالغة على رد الفعل العالمي على ممارستها "الهيمنة الخيرة". وأخيرا، أخفقت الإدارة في تقدير الصعوبات التي تشتمل عليها الهندسة الاجتماعية الواسعة النطاق، واستهانت استهانة فاضحة بالصعوبات التي يتضمنها تأسيس حكومة ديمقراطية ناجحة في العراق. ويستكشف فوكوياما المناقشة التي يقدمها نقاد إدارة بوش والتي تحاجج في أن الإدارة كان لها جدول أعمال من المحافظين الجدد هو الذي أملى سياستها الخارجية في أثناء المدة الأولى لولاية الرئيس. وفوكوياما بذلك يقدم تاريخاً رائعاً للعناصر المختلفة من فكر المحافظين الجدد منذ الثلاثينيات من 1930، وهو يدلل على أن تراث الحركة معقد يمكن تفسيره تفسيرا مختلفاً عما كان عليه بعد نهاية الحرب الباردة. وفوكوياما، وهو يحلل سوء حسابات إدارة بوش في الاستجابة للتحدي الذي برز بعد 11أيلول / سبتمبر، يقترح مدخلا جديدا للسياسة الخارجية الأمريكية يمكن من خلاله الدوران حول مثل هذه الأخطاء - مدخلا تنضم فيه النواحي الإيجابية من تراث المحافظين الجدد مع وجهة نظر أكثر واقعية عن الطرق التي يمكن بها للقوة الأمريكية أن تستخدم حول العالم. "يعطي فوكوياما هنا أوضح رواية وأكثرها معرفة عن رؤية المحافظين الجدد لموقع أمريكا ودورها في قضايا العالم، وأين أخطأت بتماديها المضر على نحو فادح. وهو يحاجج بفاعلية من أجل سياسة خارجية أمريكية تكون أكثر وعياً بحدود القوة الأمريكية، وأقل اعتماداً على القوة العسكرية، وأكثر احتراماً لمصالح البلدان الأخرى وآرائها وللمعايير، والمؤسسات الدولية التي تبرز" ناثان غليزر - جامعة هارفرد

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Author: توني موريسون
Publisher: Al Manhal
ISBN:
Size: 12.15 MB
Format: PDF, Mobi
Category : Fiction
Languages : ar
Pages : 432
View: 1989

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Book Description: محبوبة هي رواية من تأليف الكاتبة الأمريكية توني موريسون، صدرت في عام 1987 بعد الحرب الأهلية في أمريكا عام، وهي مستوحاة من قصة زنجية أمريكية ذات أصول أفريقية تدعى مارجريت جارنر، التي كانت واحدة من بين الذين هربوا من مناخ العنصرية في الجنوب الأمريكي -كنتاكي- في نهاية يناير عام 1856، لتستقر بعد ذلك في أوهايو - الدولة الحرة آنذاك، بطلة الرواية هي سيث وهي أيضا زنجية استطاعت الفرار من جور العبودية، وعلى ضوء ذلك نتابع أحداث هذه الرواية.

Bulletin Of The Robert Morris Associates

Bulletin of the Robert Morris Associates PDF
Author: Robert Morris Associates
Publisher:
ISBN:
Size: 79.97 MB
Format: PDF, ePub
Category : Banks and banking
Languages : en
Pages :
View: 2381

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Book Description:

The Spectator

The Spectator PDF
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Size: 29.83 MB
Format: PDF, ePub, Mobi
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
View: 7246

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Book Description:

The Triumph Of Reform 1830 1841

The triumph of reform  1830 1841 PDF
Author: Elie Halévy
Publisher:
ISBN:
Size: 52.36 MB
Format: PDF
Category : Great Britain
Languages : en
Pages :
View: 178

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Book Description:

Economic Secrets Of The New Retirement Environmenttm

Economic Secrets of the New Retirement EnvironmentTM PDF
Author: DaRayl D. Davis
Publisher: Xlibris Corporation
ISBN: 1469100754
Size: 52.74 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 267
View: 2104

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Book Description: If Americans think the money theyve been able to salvage from the retirement savings meltdown caused by the recent financial crisis is theres to keep, theyd better think again! Economic Secrets of the New Retirement Environment exposes how our broken financial system will affect everyones retirement, whether you are already in retirement, nearing retirement or more than a decade or two away. Once the secrets have been revealed, you will be shown the best ways to build, protect and fully enjoy your wealth as well as how to pass your hard-earned assets to your heirs with minimum erosion and taxation.

The Idea Of Progress

The Idea of Progress PDF
Author: J. B. Bury
Publisher: Cosimo, Inc.
ISBN: 1605201383
Size: 66.54 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 240
View: 6880

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Book Description: The truth is that Nature has in her hands a certain paste which is always the same, which she is ever turning over and over again in a thousand ways, and of which she forms men, animals, and plants. She has not formed Homer, Demosthenes, and Plato of a finer or better kneaded clay than our poets, orators, and philosophers. Do not object that minds are not material. They are connected by a material bond with the brain, and it is the quality of this material bond that determines intellectual differences. from Chapter V: The Progress of Knowledge: Fontenelle The notion that human civilization is progressing, is naturally moving from a more primitive state to a more evolved one, seems so obvious to us that it bears reminding that this was not always true: the concept did not exist before the Enlightenment. In fact, as renowned historian J.B. Bury explains in this classic work, first published in 1920, the idea of progress was antithetical to the thinking of the ancients, who saw history as an unstoppable decline from a previous Golden Age.How did we shift from such pessimism to the current assumption, and how has it altered human civilization? Drawing on the writings of such thinkers from Malthus and Descartes to Darwin and Marx and many others Bury explores how all fields of human thought from philosophy to physics have been changed by the idea of progress.British historian JOHN BAGNELL BURY (1861 1927) was professor of modern history at Cambridge. His writings, known for a readability combined with a scholarly depth, include History of the Later Roman Empire (1889), History of Greece (1900), and A History of Freedom of Thought (1913).

Visible Learning For Teachers

Visible Learning for Teachers PDF
Author: John Hattie
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1000039331
Size: 79.68 MB
Format: PDF
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 302
View: 2675

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Book Description: In November 2008, John Hattie’s ground-breaking book Visible Learning synthesised the results of more than fifteen years research involving millions of students and represented the biggest ever collection of evidence-based research into what actually works in schools to improve learning. Visible Learning for Teachers takes the next step and brings those ground breaking concepts to a completely new audience. Written for students, pre-service and in-service teachers, it explains how to apply the principles of Visible Learning to any classroom anywhere in the world. The author offers concise and user-friendly summaries of the most successful interventions and offers practical step-by-step guidance to the successful implementation of visible learning and visible teaching in the classroom. This book: links the biggest ever research project on teaching strategies to practical classroom implementation champions both teacher and student perspectives and contains step by step guidance including lesson preparation, interpreting learning and feedback during the lesson and post lesson follow up offers checklists, exercises, case studies and best practice scenarios to assist in raising achievement includes whole school checklists and advice for school leaders on facilitating visible learning in their institution now includes additional meta-analyses bringing the total cited within the research to over 900 comprehensively covers numerous areas of learning activity including pupil motivation, curriculum, meta-cognitive strategies, behaviour, teaching strategies, and classroom management. Visible Learning for Teachers is a must read for any student or teacher who wants an evidence based answer to the question; ‘how do we maximise achievement in our schools?’

The Living Age

The Living Age     PDF
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Size: 65.93 MB
Format: PDF, Docs
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
View: 4117

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Book Description: